Izinga le-Fed lithinta kanjani izinga lokushintshisana kwe-RMB? Abahlaziyi abaningi balindele ukuthi izinga lokushintshisana kwe-RMB lizoqhubeka nokuzinza.

Isikhathi saseBeijing ngoJuni 15 ngo-2 ekuseni, i-Federal Reserve inyuse amazinga enzalo ngamaphuzu ayisisekelo angu-25, izinga lezimali zikahulumeni lisuka ku-0.75% ~ 1% landa laya ku-1% ~ 1.25%. Abahlaziyi abaningi bakholelwa ukuthi amazinga enzalo anyuselwe yi-Fed okushintshashintsha kwezinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB ngeke abe makhulu kakhulu.

Okokuqala, izimakethe bezilokhu zikhuphuka ukuze zenze isivumelwano, okuzoholela ekukhululweni kusenesikhathi.Ekupheleni kukaMeyi, ukulingana okuphakathi kwe-RMB uma kuqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika kwethulwa “isici esiphikisanayo”, intengo ephakathi ingu-6.87% ngaphambi kokukhuphukela ku-6.79. Empeleni kwenza iBhange Elikhulu libe nokuqonda okwengeziwe ekuqondiseni amazinga okushintshaniswa kwe-RMB ahamba ohlangothini olulodwa.

Sizomnotho, ukuzinza kwesikhathi eside ekuthuthukisweni komnotho waseShayina hasakushintshiwe futhi usazokwazi ukushintshana ngokusekelwa okuhle.Idatha ekhishwe ngoJuni 7, ikhombisa ukuthi kuze kube uMeyi 31, isilinganiso sezimali ezigciniwe zaseShayina zokushintshaniswa kwamanye amazwe ezingama-US $3.0536 trillion, sikhuphuka inyanga yesine ilandelana. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ngokulungiswa kwemakethe yezezimali yasekhaya, ngaphakathi nangaphandle ukusabalala okubanzi nakho kusekelwa yizinga lokushintshisana.

Okwesithathu, Lo mkhuba osheshayo wokwenziwa kwe-RMB emhlabeni wonke ngeke uthintwe kakhulu ukwenyuka kwezinga le-Fed.IBhange Elikhulu LaseYurophu lithe esitatimendeni ezinsukwini ezimbalwa ezedlule, ngokuthengisa amadola engxenyeni yokuqala yalo nyaka, ukwanda okuphelele kwenani elilinganayo lemali yokulondoloza imali yangaphandle eyizigidi ezingama-RMB ezingama-500. Lesi yisikhathi sokuqala i-ECB ifaka i-RMB ezinqolobaneni zokushintshanisa imali yangaphandle, okuyisinyathelo esiphinde sasiza ekuzinzeni kwesikhathi esifushane kwesilinganiso sokushintshanisa imali se-RMB.

Uma sibheka ukugeleza kwemingcele yesikhathi esizayo kwaso sonke isimo, isikhulu esiphephile sithe, ngokujwayelekile, ukugeleza kwemali yemingcele yamanje kuzinzile kahle, kugcina ibhalansi eyisisekelo yokuhlinzekwa kanye nesidingo sezimali zangaphandle endaweni yangaphandle ihlala, ikakhulukazi ngoba umnotho uyaqhubeka nokusebenza ngesikhathi esifanele ngokusekelwe entengo ephakathi, ephakathi yendlela yokwakheka kwezinga lokushintshaniswa kwe-RMB futhi ithuthuka njalo, ngaphakathi kwemali engenayo yangaphandle kanye nezindleko kuzoba ngcono kakhulu.